The Whale of Ignorance
Tuesday, November 09, 2004
 
I think the best way to come to grips with the election result is to make yourself believe that even perfectly random policy decisions would have a %10 chance of outperforming the most well reasoned policies, due to the freakish vicissitudes of the world, thus, being charitable, even a poorly reasoned policy has about a %30 of working out for the best. Which is better odds than you get on an inside straight draw -- we've almost got a two-way draw, if I'm right. And I'm not sure we would have had top pair if we went with Kerry anyway.



 
Comments: Post a Comment



<< Home
Sounds like "Veil of Ignorance"... Notes from Underwater...

Name:
Location: Los Angeles, CA, United States
Blogs I Read

Faith and Fear in Flushing
ABD
The Unfashionable Human Body
Snapculture
PEA Soup
LA Foodblogging

Archives
08/01/2003 - 09/01/2003 / 09/01/2003 - 10/01/2003 / 10/01/2003 - 11/01/2003 / 11/01/2003 - 12/01/2003 / 12/01/2003 - 01/01/2004 / 01/01/2004 - 02/01/2004 / 02/01/2004 - 03/01/2004 / 03/01/2004 - 04/01/2004 / 04/01/2004 - 05/01/2004 / 05/01/2004 - 06/01/2004 / 06/01/2004 - 07/01/2004 / 07/01/2004 - 08/01/2004 / 09/01/2004 - 10/01/2004 / 10/01/2004 - 11/01/2004 / 11/01/2004 - 12/01/2004 / 12/01/2004 - 01/01/2005 / 01/01/2005 - 02/01/2005 / 02/01/2005 - 03/01/2005 / 03/01/2005 - 04/01/2005 / 04/01/2005 - 05/01/2005 / 05/01/2005 - 06/01/2005 / 06/01/2005 - 07/01/2005 / 08/01/2005 - 09/01/2005 / 12/01/2005 - 01/01/2006 / 08/01/2006 - 09/01/2006 /


Powered by Blogger